What Would Happen If Rates Fell Below 5.5%?
Posted by Steve Eckhardt on
Mortgage Rates Below 5.5%: How Many Buyers Could Re-Enter the Market?
When the 30-year fixed rate flirted with 8 percent in 2023, America’s housing engine seized up. Millions of would-be movers chose to “lock in place,” unwilling to trade their low-3 percent loans for payments that felt twice as high. That stalemate is beginning to crack: if rates fall below the pivotal 5.5 percent line, the buyer floodgates swing open.
National Demand That’s Waiting in the Wings
Respected analysts at Zillow and John Burns Real Estate Consulting peg the “rate-locked” cohort at roughly four million households. Their survey work shows that 45–60 percent of those owners would actively shop again once rates drop into the mid-fives. That translates to 1.8–2.5 million new…
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